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Nine sale prices have median $412,000 and mean $468,000. Which is a plausible distributional explanation, without inferring a time trend from these summaries alone?

Correct Answer

B) Relatively high prices in the upper tail can pull the mean upward

A high-value upper tail can pull the mean above the median. The two summary numbers alone do not establish that specific observations are erroneous outliers or that the market rose or fell; dates and the full distribution would be needed. They also do not prove a median arithmetic error or make nine observations unanalyzable.

Answer Options
A
The median must contain an arithmetic error
B
Relatively high prices in the upper tail can pull the mean upward
C
Nine observations cannot be described statistically
D
The market must have declined, pulling the median below the mean

Why This Is the Correct Answer

Option B is correct because relatively high prices in the upper tail can pull the mean above the median, which fits a mean of $468,000 and a median of $412,000. When the right tail is heavier than the left, the mean tends to exceed the median. Dates and the full distribution would be needed to say more.

Why the Other Options Are Wrong

Option A: The median must contain an arithmetic error

Option A says the median must contain an arithmetic error. A median below the mean is a normal result in a right-skewed data set and does not by itself indicate any error.

Option C: Nine observations cannot be described statistically

Option C claims nine observations cannot be described statistically. Nine values can be summarized with a median and mean, though conclusions from a small sample should be drawn with care.

Option D: The market must have declined, pulling the median below the mean

Option D says the market must have declined, pulling the median below the mean. The median and mean contain no information about sale dates, so they cannot show a market trend in either direction.

Mean follows the tail

The mean is pulled toward the longer tail, so a mean above the median points to a heavier high-price tail.

How to use: Use this to interpret any question comparing a mean with a median.

Exam Tip

Choose the distributional explanation; answers that infer market direction or errors from summary figures alone overreach.

Common Mistakes to Avoid

  • -Reading a market trend into a gap between mean and median
  • -Assuming the median is wrong because it differs from the mean
  • -Believing small samples cannot be summarized at all

Concept Deep Dive

Analysis

This question tests interpreting a mean that exceeds the median. A mean of $468,000 above a median of $412,000 suggests a heavier upper tail, where some relatively high prices pull the mean up. Summary figures alone do not show a time trend, an arithmetic error or that the sample is too small.

Background Knowledge

In a symmetric distribution the mean and median are close. In a right-skewed distribution, high values pull the mean above the median; in a left-skewed one, the mean falls below. Detecting a market trend requires analyzing prices over time, not comparing two summary statistics.

Real-World Application

An appraiser sees that nine recent sales have a median of $412,000 but a mean of $468,000. Reviewing the list, the appraiser finds two lakefront homes near $650,000 pulling the average up, and relies more on the median when describing typical prices.

skewnessmeanmedianupper taildistribution
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