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Sales ComparisonHARD16.4% of exam

A paired sales analysis yields an adjustment of −$15,000 for a property located on a busy arterial street. Later, the appraiser discovers that all three paired properties with arterial exposure also had 20% smaller lots than their non-arterial counterparts — a difference not initially controlled for. What is the most appropriate action to address the confounding?

Correct Answer

D) Re-analyze the pairs to isolate the arterial impact, or discard the pairs if adequate control is impossible

Because lot size and street exposure move together in the selected pairs, the observed difference does not isolate street influence. Obtain adequate controls or more suitable evidence before estimating the street component. Merely adding a caveat or increasing the number mechanically does not resolve identification; fitting regression to the same confounded data is not an automatic cure.

Answer Options
A
Retain the −$15,000 adjustment for arterial exposure, but add a qualitative comment about the smaller lot sizes
B
Increase the adjustment to −$18,000 to account for combined impacts
C
Keep the −$15,000 and cite a regression run on the same three confounded pairs
D
Re-analyze the pairs to isolate the arterial impact, or discard the pairs if adequate control is impossible

Why This Is the Correct Answer

Because lot size and street exposure move together in the selected pairs, the observed difference does not isolate street influence. Obtain adequate controls or more suitable evidence before estimating the street component. Merely adding a caveat or increasing the number mechanically does not resolve identification; fitting regression to the same confounded data is not an automatic cure.

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