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What is the risk of accepting a model estimate because it agrees with the client's expectation?

Correct Answer

C) The appraiser has let the outcome select the evidence

Why this is correct: This describes 'confirmation bias' or 'advocacy,' violating USPAP's requirement for impartiality. Selecting or favoring an analysis because it matches a pre-determined outcome compromises objectivity, as the original explanation warns. Why the other choices are wrong: The model's confidence score is an internal metric, not necessarily lost. Agreement does not always indicate an error; it could be coincidental. Client expectations are not inherently confidential, but using them to drive the value conclusion is unethical. Exam tip: The process must be evidence-driven, not result-driven. The client's expected value is not a valid reconciliation factor.

Answer Options
A
The model may lose its confidence score
B
Agreement always indicates a modelling error
C
The appraiser has let the outcome select the evidence
D
Client expectations are confidential information

Why This Is the Correct Answer

Why this is correct: This describes 'confirmation bias' or 'advocacy,' violating USPAP's requirement for impartiality. Selecting or favoring an analysis because it matches a pre-determined outcome compromises objectivity, as the original explanation warns. Why the other choices are wrong: The model's confidence score is an internal metric, not necessarily lost. Agreement does not always indicate an error; it could be coincidental. Client expectations are not inherently confidential, but using them to drive the value conclusion is unethical. Exam tip: The process must be evidence-driven, not result-driven. The client's expected value is not a valid reconciliation factor.

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