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In which phase of the real estate cycle do rising vacancies first meet a still-growing construction pipeline?

Correct Answer

D) Hypersupply, when starts outrun demand

Why this is correct: Hypersupply occurs when new construction starts, initiated during an expansion, continue to deliver units after demand growth has slowed. This results in rising vacancies despite ongoing delivery, a key phase leading into recession. Why the other choices are wrong: In recovery, absorption improves and vacancies fall. In expansion, rents climb and vacancies are low. In recession, values have typically already fallen. Exam tip: Hypersupply = new supply exceeds absorption, causing vacancy rise.

Answer Options
A
Recovery, as absorption begins improving
B
Expansion, while rents are still climbing
C
Recession, after values have already bottomed
D
Hypersupply, when starts outrun demand

Why This Is the Correct Answer

Why this is correct: Hypersupply occurs when new construction starts, initiated during an expansion, continue to deliver units after demand growth has slowed. This results in rising vacancies despite ongoing delivery, a key phase leading into recession. Why the other choices are wrong: In recovery, absorption improves and vacancies fall. In expansion, rents climb and vacancies are low. In recession, values have typically already fallen. Exam tip: Hypersupply = new supply exceeds absorption, causing vacancy rise.

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