EstatePass
appraisal-statistical-methodshard

Why does adding more variables to a regression not necessarily improve it?

Correct Answer

D) The model may fit noise in this particular sample

Why this is correct: Adding more variables may not improve a regression because the model may fit noise in this particular sample. This is called overfitting. As the original explanation states, R-squared always rises with added variables, but a model tuned to sample-specific randomness will perform poorly on new data. Why the other choices are wrong: R-squared always rises (or stays the same) when variables are added; it does not fall. Extra variables do not each need to be tested separately in the way this option implies. The dependent variable (e.g., sale price) does not change with each variable addition. Exam tip: If a model fits your sample data perfectly but seems too complex, it's likely overfitting. Use adjusted R-squared or out-of-sample testing to check.

Answer Options
A
R-squared always falls when variables are added
B
Extra variables must each be tested separately
C
The dependent variable changes with each addition
D
The model may fit noise in this particular sample

Why This Is the Correct Answer

Why this is correct: Adding more variables may not improve a regression because the model may fit noise in this particular sample. This is called overfitting. As the original explanation states, R-squared always rises with added variables, but a model tuned to sample-specific randomness will perform poorly on new data. Why the other choices are wrong: R-squared always rises (or stays the same) when variables are added; it does not fall. Extra variables do not each need to be tested separately in the way this option implies. The dependent variable (e.g., sale price) does not change with each variable addition. Exam tip: If a model fits your sample data perfectly but seems too complex, it's likely overfitting. Use adjusted R-squared or out-of-sample testing to check.

Was this explanation helpful?

More appraisal-statistical-methods Questions

A price index rises from 100 to 121 over two years. What compound annual rate does this represent?

A sample of four sales drawn from a market with 200 annual transactions is:

A set of comparable sales has a mean of $250,000 and a standard deviation of $20,000. What is the coefficient of variation?

A property sold for $400,000 and resold three years later for $463,050 with no physical change. What compound annual rate does this indicate?

An appraiser includes both 'total room count' and 'bedroom count' as independent variables in a regression model estimating single-family home sale prices. The variance inflation factor (VIF) for 'bedroom count' is calculated as 12.3. What is the most appropriate appraisal action based on this result?

An appraiser runs a regression of sale price on GLA, age, and a binary variable for 'renovated' (1 = yes, 0 = no). The estimated coefficient for 'renovated' is $18,400 with a standard error of $6,200 and a t-statistic of 2.97. Assuming a two-tailed test at Ξ± = 0.05 and 42 degrees of freedom, what conclusion is supported regarding the market's recognition of renovations?

To validate the functional form of a regression model used for adjustments, an appraiser plots residuals against predicted values and observes a clear inverted-U pattern. What does this pattern indicate, and what is the most defensible corrective action?

A histogram of neighborhood sale prices shows two distinct peaks. What does this most likely mean?

What does it mean to validate a regression model?

An appraiser includes months elapsed since each sale as a variable in a price model. What is this intended to capture?

People Also Study

Practice More Appraiser Questions

Access all practice questions with progress tracking and adaptive difficulty to pass your Appraiser exam.

Start Practicing